Sports playing can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. My partner and i analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Florida had this edge in the match. Nevertheless , I also noticed that there were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released prior to the game:
West California versus Louisville
This sport offers all the indicators of being one associated with the most effective games involving the year, using both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming rear from staying down big in the final 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the adventure seem like this year?
In case this sport were getting played at the simple field, West California would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.
These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the added added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that spare point might make the big difference between some sort of push plus a loss.
But bookmaker software may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December 18, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points every game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. 6 points each game on home. In case a person did not do the math, that means considering that his or her last home damage they also have averaged beating their competitors by way of about 34 factors per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 things per video game at home considering that the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s how…
Almost all of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games through which they’ve only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence of which this is still the close game to phone. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this particular game and not wager at all. There usually are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s borders was not so big they may still win soon after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this activity, people significant with regards to sports betting saved money they can offer better employ on coming games.
